Market Outlook 4-4-2025

The Coming Rise

The Close of Market April 3rd 2025

This year is a year that usually rises in the stock market based on history. My reasearch shows a typical rise expected during April earnings generally a rise between the 1st and the 10th. A larger declining market is seen between the 10th and the 20th which is tax time.

Using the $SP500 as the “market” the pressure is going to push the market lower. I believe you could see the 3 Day chart decline to the rising 144 moving average. Looking at the futures I missed a very obvious short put trade today on the SPY.

You could have also been in a short call yesterday which I was, but I hope you exited yesterday before the close because you would’ve been crushed today at the open.

The easiest money to be made right now is to wait for the dust to settle on the decline because a bounce up is probable.

Keeping in mind that the overall Monthly and Quaterly charts are just beginning to go down and I wouldn’t be suprised to see a down month throughout April.

Upcoming Trades: My trading plan

Right now the focus is trading earings catalysts:

GS- next earnings 4/14/2025

BA- next earnings 4/23/25

CAT - next earnings 4/24/2025

CMI - next earnings 5/1/2025

DE - next earnings 5/15/2025

NVDA - next earnings 5/21/2025

TSLA - next earnings 4/22/2025

MSTR - next earnings 4/28/2025

Remember all these are approximate dates based on my own reasearch.

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